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At the concentrations currently found at this site, the risk of most importance is the chronic or long- <br /> term risk Two types of chronic risk have to be assessed cancer risk and non-cancer chronic <br /> exposure risk <br /> These two types of risk are treated differently because of the way they effect people Carcinogens <br /> are modeled as if any amount of the compound will produce some possibility of causing cancer <br /> Non carcinogens will not cause health effects until they reach a threshold value at which <br /> concentration they may have some adverse effect on the population Below the threshold value, a <br /> high-risk compound may even have a beneficial effect, e g , vitamin A and sodium chloride (table <br /> salt) <br /> Because of these different effect models, the risk is calculated differently The cancer risk is <br /> calculated as a probability of causing cancer using a slope factor (SF) The SF expresses the <br /> probability of cancer from the intake of 1 mg of compound per kg of body weight over a 70-year <br /> lifetime <br /> The non-cancer risk is calculated by comparing the chance of exceeding the threshold limit of the <br /> compound In order to insure that no sensitive person will be effected by the chemical, the <br /> Reference Dose (Rfd) that is used to calculate the risk of exposure is given an uncertainty factor of <br /> 10 to 1000 times less than the No-Observed-Adverse-Effect-Level (NOAEL) The NOAEL is the <br /> concentration at which no adverse effect was found in human and/or animal studies The non-cancer <br /> risk is calculated by dividing the long-term ingestion rate by the Rfd If the result is less than one, <br /> the threshold limit above which health effects will occur should not be reached <br /> TOXICITY ASSESSMENT <br /> Of the compounds currently found at the site, the primary driver of risk at this site is the benzene <br /> Cancer Toxicity <br /> Benzene, a class A carcinogen, has been shown in work place studies to cause Leukemia in humans <br /> The current EPA Cancer risk slope factor (SF) is 0 029 (1/(mg/kg-day)) <br /> Non-cancer Toxicity <br /> Five compounds were considered for the non-cancer toxicity, Benzene, Ethlybenzene, Hexane, <br /> MTBE, Toluene, and Xylenes (which includes, meta, para and orto xylenes) See Appendix G of <br /> Update Status Report #53, RBCA Spreadsheet, RBCA Chemical Data, and Toxicity Data for current <br /> EPA <br /> Hexane was used to represent the alkane (non-aromatic) portion of gasoline Hexane was chosen <br /> because its properties represent the light, faster moving, end of the alkanes and as such represents the <br /> worst case for alkane migration <br /> 11 R603 Update#54/CLOSURE 3 12198 <br />