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Draft Supplemental Environmental Impact Report Page IV.E-16 <br /> Forward Inc. Landfill 2018 Expansion Project <br /> inhalation of chemicals present in landfill gas (LFG)and emissions from vehicles, dermal <br /> absorption, soil ingestion, and mother's milk. <br /> As identified in Standards of Significance, the significance of air toxic emissions depends upon <br /> the chance of contracting cancer from exposure to air toxics, or upon having adverse health <br /> effects from exposure to non—carcinogenic air toxics. Cancer risks would be significant if the <br /> incremental risk equals or exceeds 20 in a million for the Maximally Exposed Individual.- <br /> Exposure to non—carcinogenic substances would be significant if the Hazard Index(HI)exceeds <br /> 1.0.13 <br /> The standards are typically applied to the results of a HRA through a detailed air dispersion <br /> modeling effort using the EPA's AERMOD dispersion model. This assessment is intended to <br /> provide a worst—case estimate of the increased exposure by employing a standard emission <br /> estimation program and an accepted pollutant dispersion model. <br /> Conservative health risk methodologies were used in the HRA in order to estimate maximum <br /> potential health risks. These methodologies are anticipated to overestimate both non- <br /> carcinogenic and carcinogenic health risk,possibly by an order of magnitude or more. For <br /> carcinogenic risks, the actual probabilities of cancer formation in the populations of concern due <br /> to exposure to carcinogenic pollutants are likely to be lower than the risks derived using the risk <br /> assessment methodology. <br /> In accordance with OEHHA guidelines, the HRA was accomplished by applying the highest <br /> estimated concentrations of TAC at the receptors analyzed to the established cancer potency <br /> factors and acceptable reference concentrations for non-cancer health effects. The HRA for this <br /> project utilized the EPA approved AEROMOD model. AEROMOD is a refined air dispersion <br /> modeling program and can compute emission concentrations from many sources at many <br /> locations based on actual meteorological data. The meteorological data used in this HRA was <br /> obtained from the SJVAPCD web site and had already been reviewed for use in AEROMOD. <br /> The Post-Project or Future Potential scenario was estimated in the HRA assuming full <br /> implementation of the Project described in the Project Description,namely the proposed <br /> development of additional disposal area within the currently permitted Forward Landfill <br /> boundary and creek re-location. The proposed expansion does include an increase in the rate of <br /> landfill-related activities from the current actual rate to the full permitted waste acceptance rate <br /> of 8,668 tons per day. The project would result in an increase of air toxics emissions from onsite <br /> 12 The Maximally Exposed Individual represents the worst—case risk estimate,based on a theoretical <br /> person continuously exposed at the point of highest compound concentration in the air. The analysis <br /> used emission of LFG based on results from the EPA Landfill Gas Emissions Model(LandGEM)gas <br /> generation models. For the current permitted and future potential scenarios,the worst-case 30-year span <br /> was used;2018 through 2047 for current permitted,and 2029 through 2058 for future potential. <br /> 13 The Hazard Index is the ratio of a hazardous air pollutant concentration to its Reference Concentration, <br /> or safe exposure level. If this"hazard index' exceeds one, people are exposed to levels of hazardous air <br /> pollutants that may pose non—cancer health risks. <br />