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Mr.Russell Chapin <br /> 1766 W.Monte Diablo Avenue <br /> Page 3 of 7 <br /> Point 4: The EHD had questioned the use of 0.0012 foot/foot as the hydraulic gradient in the <br /> model as opposed to the 0.015 to 0.020 ft/ft hydraulic gradient determined through a pumping <br /> test conducted by AGE. ATC chose the 0.0012 ft/ft based on matching model output with <br /> observed contaminant concentration distribution, and discounted the 0.015 and 0.020 ft/ft as <br /> possibly being influenced by the higher conductivity of pea gravel backfill in the former <br /> excavations. <br /> According to the Response Letter, ATC estimated the hydraulic conductivity and the recharge <br /> flux concentration, and calibrated the flow and transport model, by matching model output to the <br /> observed contaminant distribution and concentrations that were also used in determining the <br /> predominant flow direction. The EHD concedes that a well-defined model dependent on seven <br /> variables, for example, can match predicted output to observed data to tightly constrain or solve <br /> for one variable, if the other six are well characterized. The more variables there are that must <br /> be solved or estimated through matching output to observed data, the less precise each solution <br /> must be until there is potential for circular reasoning. Intuitively, the predominant flow direction <br /> appears to be constrained by the presence or absence of dissolved contaminants. <br /> In regard to the second point presented by ATC, soil sample depth records indicate that the <br /> former excavations locally were as much as 14 feet deep and, at the time of the pumping test, <br /> the depth to groundwater on the site was approximately 10 to 12 feet; therefore, water was <br /> probably present in some pea gravel. The boring logs for MW-4 and VE-6 show fine-grained <br /> soil from near surface to approximately 10 feet bsg and silty sand from 10 or 15 feet bsg to 25 <br /> or 30 feet bsg; no pea gravel was encountered. If the saturated pea gravel were supplying <br /> sufficient volumes of water to the silty sand between the two wells, then the hydraulic <br /> conductivity could be overestimated, and ATC may be correct. However, ATC has not put <br /> forward a way to quantify the effect, if any, of saturated pea gravel on the pumping test results. <br /> Therefore, the EHD believes the model should be run with the pumping test-derived hydraulic <br /> conductivity to evaluate the effects of the higher conductivity on the model response, in the <br /> event that the contribution from the saturated pea gravel was minimal. This would provide a test <br /> of the model sensitivity to this variable. <br /> Point 5: As stated in the 04 October 2004 letter, the EHD believes that engineered remediation <br /> has been the dominant contaminant mass reduction mechanism on the site. ATC responded by <br /> citing apparent contaminant concentration reductions in monitoring wells MW-3, MW-4 and MW- <br /> 5 that ATC interprets to indicate that natural attenuation has been a significant factor at the site. <br /> The EHD believes there may be several mechanisms acting to cause the observed reduction. <br /> MW-4 is likely to have been influenced by SVE and GWE; MW-3 could be influenced by source <br /> reduction by SVE and GWE and by changes of groundwater flow direction; MW-5, the most <br /> distal well, would be the most sensitive well to small changes of flow direction —an unresolved <br /> problem for the model as discussed above. Therefore, the EHD does not consider contaminant <br /> trends in these three wells as definitive evidence for natural attenuation. Regarding this point, <br /> please note that the EHD has not maintained that natural attenuation was not occurring at the <br /> site, but has pointed out that active remediation has had an obviously discernable effect on <br /> contaminant concentrations, while the portion of the contaminant reduction attributable to <br /> natural attenuation has not been demonstrated with existing data. In neither the closure report <br /> nor the response letter, has ATC clearly demonstrated that natural attenuation is active, nor, <br /> more importantly, has the rate at which natural attenuation is reducing the contaminant mass <br /> been estimated. <br />