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3-5 <br />mitigate rupture of a Holocene fault. A potential fault, referred to as the Stockton Fault, is an <br />east -west trending feature derived from oil well data projected to underlie the project site. The <br />Stockton fault defines the northern edge of the Stockton Arch, a basement rock that divides <br />the San Joaquin Basin on the south from the Sacramento Basin on the north. The Stockton <br />fault is an inferred fault and considered not active. <br />The most significant cluster of active faults are the San Andres, Calaveras, Hayward, Antioch, <br />and Green Valley faults located 30 to 70 miles west of the project site. The nearest active <br />fault is the Great Valley 7 fault located approximately 21 miles from the project site. The Great <br />Valley fault is a reverse fault with a 15 -degree dip and an approximate fault length of 45 km. <br />The slip rate is estimated at 1.5 mm/year. <br />The seismic exposure of Forward Landfill was evaluated by Geosyntec Consultants <br />([Geosyntec], 2001). The evaluation consisted of assessment of seismic hazards near the site <br />and development of corresponding design ground motions. In order to assess the seismic <br />loads that may occur at the site following regional earthquakes, Geosyntec reviewed <br />available information regarding significant active and potentially active faults and seismic <br />source zones within 100 miles of the project site (Table 4). Also listed in Table 4 are the <br />strong ground shaking duration (Ds) and Peak Horizontal Ground Acceleration (PHGA) <br />estimates for both the maximum probable earthquake (MPE) and the maximum credible <br />earthquake (MCE) events. Both estimates are for a hypothetical bedrock outcrop at the <br />geometric center of Forward Landfill. <br />As shown on Table 4, the Great Valley (Segment 7) blind thrust fault system, approximately <br />21 miles southwest of the site, has the greatest potential to generate large earthquake <br />loads at the Forward Landfill. A MPE moment magnitude (Mw) 6.4 earthquake on the Great <br />Valley fault with its associated 11.8 seconds of duration of strong ground shaking would <br />produce a PGHA of approximately 0.09g; a MCE Mw 6.7 event on the Great Valley fault would <br />generate a PHGA of approximately 0.13g with an upper bound horizontal ground <br />acceleration of 0.158. Based on the deterministic PHGA from the MCE of 0.138, the PHGA <br />from the MPE of 0.068, and the largest historic ground acceleration of 0.078, GLA identified <br />a site design horizontal ground acceleration of 0.158 to be used for seismic design of the <br />facility based on the MCE event of 6.7 on the Great Valley fault (Segment 7). <br />While the Great Valley fault was calculated to yield the highest PHGA, the duration of <br />earthquake -induced ground shaking would be longest for the San Andreas fault system. The <br />MPE and MCE on the San Andreas fault system are characterized by the same Mw 7.9 event <br />at a distance of approximately 70 miles. As shown on Table 4, such a large -magnitude <br />distant event is calculated to induce strong ground shaking that could last 45.4 seconds. <br />Given the relatively small difference in the estimated bedrock PHGA and the relatively large <br />difference in estimated Ds, Geosyntec concluded that the Mw 7.9 event on the San Andreas <br />fault system could be the most damaging earthquake for Forward Landfill. Accordingly, the <br />Forward Landfill SWT Engineering <br />Joint Technical Document - April 2014 <br />z:\projects\allied waste\forward\five year permit rvw 2013\jtd-5 yr pr 2013\text\sec 3_final.doc <br />