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The Calaveras Fault has generated several historical earthquakes over magnitude 5. <br /> The largest historical earthquake associated with the Calaveras fault was the magnitude <br /> 6.6 earthquake in 1911. <br /> The expected recurrence of earthquakes on the Calaveras Fault is shown in Figure 1. <br /> Using the long term slip-rates (Table 1), there is about a 1/3 chance of a magnitude 6.5 <br /> earthquake on the Northern Calaveras in the next 100 years. Since this is smaller than <br /> the largest historical earthquake, the MME is defined by the historical earthquake <br /> magnitude. <br /> The recommended MME is a magnitude 6.6 earthquake at a distance of 83 km. <br /> Franklin Fault <br /> The Franklin fault is located 84 km west of the site. The Franklin fault is 34 km long <br /> with predominantly strike-slip motion. No historical earthquakes over magnitude 5 <br /> have occurred on the Franklin Fault. <br /> The frequency of occurrence of earthquakes on the Franklin Fault is estimated using the <br /> fault parameters listed in Table 1 and a standard truncated exponential model (Youngs <br /> and Coppersmith, 1985). The 100-year probability of at least one earthquake of <br /> magnitude M or larger is shown in Figure 1. Based on the long term slip-rate, there is <br /> about a 1/3 chance of having a magnitude 5.5 earthquake or larger on the Franklin <br /> Fault in the next 100 years. <br /> 3 <br /> The recommended MME is a magnitude 5.5 earthquake at a distance of 84 km. <br /> Napa Fault <br /> The Napa fault is located 89 km west of the site. The Napa fault is 35 km long with <br /> predominantly strike-slip motion. No historical earthquakes over magnitude 5 have <br /> occurred on the Napa Fault. <br /> The frequency of occurrence of earthquakes on the Napa Fault is estimated using the <br /> fault parameters listed in Table 1 and a standard truncated exponential model (Youngs <br /> and Coppersmith, 1985). The 100-year probability of at least one earthquake of <br /> magnitude M or larger is shown in Figure 1. Based on the long term slip-rate, there is <br />