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Residential Population Forecast. Using the same assumed population estimates as those used in the 1994 Environmental Impact Report(EIR) on the Mountain House Specific Plan 1 (San Joaquin County, 1994), the proposed residential development of this project would result in an on-site population of 3,980 persons (see Table 5). Table 5 PROJECTED RESIDENTIAL POPULATION Persons Per Land Use Dwelling Units Unit Total Population Low-Density Residential 598 3.12 1 1,866 Med. Density Residential 380 2.7 1,026 High Density Residential 480a 2.0 1 960 Second Units i 64 2.0 128 TOTAL1,522b 3,980 a Assumes a density of 20 units per acre for the proposed 24 acres. b Does not include any density bonus units allowable for high density area. 4. Commercial and Industrial Portion of Development The proposed commercial development would include the following categories: 1) Neighborhood Commercial (2.6 acres); 2) Community Commercial (17.8 acres); and 3) Office Commercial (30.5 acres). The 2.6-acre neighborhood commercial use would be concentrated in one area at the center of the project site, at the intersection of De Anza Boulevard and Wicklund Crossing (see Figure 2). Allowable uses within this area would include uses such as eating establishments, child care centers, retail sales, medical services, public services, and religious assembly. Although a larger 2.6-acre site is zoned for Neighborhood Commercial, only 1.0 acres would be developed with neighborhood commercial uses. The remaining 1.6 acres of the site would be developed with a neighborhood recreation facility (pool, etc.)for residents' use. Maximum building coverage for this zone could be 60 percent, or 66,908 sq.ft. for this 2.6-acre area if buildings were one-story, or 133,816 sq.ft. if the buildings were the maximum allowable height of two stories. Industrial areas would include 10 lots for Limited Industrial uses on about 35 acres. These lots would be accessible from the proposed De Anza Boulevard and smaller east-west streets. Though they would be located adjacent to Mountain House Parkway (see Figure 4), they would not be accessed from this arterial. Job generation from the proposed industrial and commercial development would be 3032 persons (see Table 6). Assuming 1.44 workers per household,' the resulting jobs/housing ratio at the project site at buildout would be 1.43 (3032 employed persons divided by [1522 housing units X 1.44 workers per household]), significantly higher than the 0.99 ratio anticipated for the buildout of the entire new community. By the time the 1.43 ratio is met, other residential units outside of Neighborhood "F" are likely to be on line in other residential areas. The absorption rate for the ' San Joaquin Count% had a ratio of onh I._'I jobs per household according to the 1990 U.S. Census: ho%%ever,the ratio should rise as the Counts continues to urbanise. The Cit% of Trace measured 1.41 %%orkers per household and Alameda Count% had a ratio of 1 54 tohs per household. The projected%%orkers per household ratio for the project at buildout is based on a regression anal%%i,prepared b% the applicant's consultants([)a%id Taussig K Associates. 1994a). -S-