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� r <br /> Mr. Michael Infurna <br /> September 16, 1496 <br /> Page 2 <br /> A feature of Version 2.5 of SESOIL is the option to estimate the change in contaminant concentration in <br /> ground water m the saturated zone resulting from movement of contaminant from the vadose zone,above. <br /> This option was used to provide an estimate,under the conditions modeled,of resulting benzene <br /> concentration in ground water. The;model vindicates that benzene will reach the water table within 3 years <br /> and will ultimately increase in.concentration in the ground water to about four times the background or <br /> original concentration. This is.represented in the output by an increase in average benzene.concentration in <br /> groundwater from 9.9&3 Whil to 4.13E-2 4n-d at the end of year 4: After year 4,the concentrat on clf <br /> benzene in ground water Jo4ines until the original background concentration is reached at the end.ofYear <br /> 8, By the end of year 23 the concentration of benzene in soil moisture,adsorbed on soil,and iri soil air ih <br /> the sublayers of the lower layer. reach nearly stable values,;indicating that;movement ofbenzene ire ft <br /> layer above the water table>has greatly diminished. <br /> The record of benzene concentration in water from MW-2,the well downgradient of EB4- shows no <br /> per eepttble t w4...either up or down. Benzene concentration in water from MW-2,in pct,has varied lather <br /> randomly in the last four years from nondetectable concentrations to 120 ppb: The last two times water <br /> ft0mMW4.was analyzed it was found not to contain detectable benzene concentrations. It appears that <br /> fir some reason:or reasons,benzene concentrations in ground waiter at MW-2 vary from one sits#o the: <br /> other of the aiWytiW:detection limit,but do not describe;an increasing trend. Further,the modest increase <br /> in benzene coneentration predicte&by the SESOIL model(about 31 ppb)falls within the rauge:ofvauriation <br /> of benzene concentrations actuially measured:in water from MW-2. Hence,if the predicted transport of <br /> benzene to the water table really occured;it might difficult to detect using benzene concentration...in <br /> groundwater as an indicator :We believe that the record of benzene concentrations measuidd in ground. <br /> water samples fi`om the:tin site wells,together with the presence of MTBE in the. und;water,is indicative <br /> of input of gasoline hydrocarbons:.to the saturated zone at some distance upgradient ofthe.wells. The:only <br /> upgrad ent.location.neafby where MTBE could have been input to the ground w## system is at.the. <br /> operating ARCO station at 501 West Lodi Avenue: <br /> The SESOIL calculations predict no:surface runoff. This has the effect of all precipitation to be <br /> considered,as infiltration through the soil surface. Some evapotranspiration is subtracted from the amount <br /> of water infiltrating,but the total amount of water reaching the water table is:very likely overestimated. In. <br /> real life,at 305 South Hutchins,much of the soil surface is paved with asphalt and concrete which assures <br /> some substantial amount of surface runoff that never sees the subsurface anywhere near 305 South <br /> Hutchins. <br /> The SESOIL calculations indicate that a very nuxlest initial increase in benzene concentration in ground <br /> water may result from Teaching of benzene(bund in the vadose zone. It is:questionable whether this <br /> predicted increase in concentration that may have been or might be realized could be recognized in the noise <br /> of normal ground-water benzene concentration variation. "There is reason to believe that in developed areas <br /> SESOIL overestimates the amount of water reaching the water table through the process of infiltration <br /> from the surface. This,in combination with the use of a 40 foot water table depth,would tend to provide <br /> an overestimate of the amount of benzene leached to the water table. <br />