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aw <br /> epidemiological evidence. Use of animal data for human health assessment may under- <br /> or overestimate potential human health risk. In order to adjust for this uncertainty, EPA <br /> generally applies safety factors ranging from 10 to 1,000 for the results of studies in <br /> sensitive animal populations to develop toxicity values to be used in human health <br /> evaluations. This conservative approach is likely to overestimate the potential human <br /> health risks. <br /> There is uncertainty whether animal carcinogens are also carcinogenic in humans. While <br /> many chemical substances are carcinogenic in one or more animal species, only a small <br /> number of chemical substances are known to be human carcinogens. The fact that some <br /> chemicals are carcinogenic in some animals but not in others raises the possibility that <br /> not all animal carcinogens are human carcinogens. EPA assumes that humans are as <br /> �.., sensitive to all carcinogens as the most sensitive animal test species. This policy decision <br /> is designed to prevent underestimating risk, increasing the likelihood that the potential <br /> carcinogenic risk will be overestimated. <br /> Dose Extrapolation <br /> Toxicity testing is generally performed using high doses over a relatively short period of <br /> time, while environmental exposures are usually low doses over a relatively long period <br /> of time. Extrapolating from high doses to low doses has considerable uncertainty. For <br /> noncarcinogenic chemicals, little or no toxic effect may occur below a threshold value, <br /> due to the body's natural detoxifying and compensatory mechanisms. However, because <br /> of uncertainty associated with dose extrapolation, EPA often bases the RfDs for <br /> noncarcinogenic effects on the most sensitive animal species at the lowest dose. This <br /> risk assessment has incorporated EPA RfD values which were derived in this manner. <br /> The use of these conservatively derived RfD values is likely to overestimate the potential <br /> health impact of noncarcinogenic chemicals at the site. <br /> The model used by EPA to determine slope factors for carcinogens is a linearized <br /> multistage model, which provides a conservative estimate of cancer risk at low doses and <br /> `-� is likely to overestimate the actual slope factor. EPA acknowledges that the actual slope <br /> factor is likely to be between zero and this estimate. Inadequate knowledge of the <br /> validity and accuracy of this model, however, increases uncertainty and the tendency to <br /> overestimate cancer risks. <br /> S:\LDC\YELLO.RPr May 4, 1995 7-6 <br /> i.+ <br />