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The Calaveras Fault hasg enerated several historical earthquakes over magnitude 5. <br />The largest historical earthquake associated with the Calaveras fault was the magnitude <br />6.6 earthquake in 1911. <br />The expected recurrence of earthquakes on the Calaveras Fault is shown in Figure 1. <br />Using the long term slip -rates (Table 1), there is about a 1/3 chance of a magnitude 6.75 <br />earthquake on the Northern Calaveras in the next 100 years. Since this is larger than the <br />largest historical earthquake, the MPE is defined by this earthquake magnitude. <br />The recommended MPE is a magnitude 6.75 at a distance of 85 km. <br />Hayward Fault <br />The Hayward Fault is located 96 km west of the site. The Hayward Fault is often <br />divided into three segments: Rodgers Creek, northern, and southern segements. <br />Combined the three segments have a total length of 151 km. The southern segment <br />extends from Warm Springs to south of Mills College, a distance of about 53 km. The <br />site is closest to the southern segment. <br />Many large earthquakes have occurred on the Hayward Fault in the historical record. <br />The largest historical earthquakes associated with the Hayward Fault are the two <br />magnitude 6.8 earthquakes: 1836 and 1868. <br />The expected recurrence of earthquakes on the Hayward Fault is shown in Figure 1. <br />Using the long term slip -rates (Table 1), there is about a 1/3 chance of a magnitude 7.0 <br />earthquake on the Hayward fault in the next 100 years. Since this is larger than the <br />largest historical earthquake, the MPE is defined by this MPE earthquake magnitude. <br />I recommend using an MPE of magnitude 7.0 at a distance of 96 km for the Hayward <br />Fault. <br />San Andreas Fault <br />The San Andreas Fault is located approximately 126 km west of the site. This section of <br />the San Andreas Fault is called the Peninsula segment. The San Andreas Fault is a <br />predominately right -lateral strike -slip fault extending from Cape Mendocino to Mexico. <br />The northern and southern sections of the fault are divided by the central creeping <br />