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Near and Far Field Dilution Analysis of Manteca Discharge October 2006 <br /> Thermal Modeling <br /> The model used for the current study was used previously to simulate temperature for the <br /> Thermal Plan Exception study(LWA, 2006). The temperature simulations were <br /> performed using the 3-D version of the model with a side bank discharge. <br /> Winter, Historical Low Flow Temperature Simulations <br /> The winter low flow condition was simulated for the Thermal Plan Exceptions study to <br /> examine the critical condition for temperature impacts. The differential between the <br /> effluent and ambient temperature is the greatest and minimum river flow results in lower <br /> dilution of the effluent plume. For this period, the difference between Manteca effluent <br /> temperatures and ambient river temperatures was approximately 17°F. <br /> The combination of low flow and strong spring tide for this simulation provide an <br /> opportunity to investigate the effects of recirculation. <br /> December 2002 stage at the Lathrop CDEC station was applied to the downstream <br /> boundary. Temperature and EC at the downstream boundary were computed within the <br /> model. Temperature and EC from the Vernalis CDEC station for this period were <br /> applied at the upstream boundary. San Joaquin River flows averaging 900 cfs, <br /> representative of historical extreme low conditions, were applied at the upstream <br /> boundary. An intermittent Manteca daily discharge rate of 9.87 MGD with a temperature <br /> of 66 °F (based on analysis of valve pit temperatures)was used. Heat exchange was <br /> computed using heat budget parameters calibrated for this period. <br /> Additional preliminary simulations were run with 28 MGD Manteca discharge. These <br /> simulations were not discussed in the Thermal Plan Exception. <br /> Historical low flow simulations with zero Manteca discharge were also performed so that <br /> incremental temperature changes resulting from the discharge could be computed. <br /> Typical model results are shown in Figure 28 through Figure 30 on December 6 at a time <br /> when the fraction of the channel cross section with temperature impacts of P F or more is <br /> at a peak. The first plot shows 3-D color contours of incremental temperature change. A <br /> plan view of surface temperature increments and profile cross sections at this time are <br /> shown in Figure 29 and Figure 30, respectively. For the time shown in these plots, the <br /> percent of the cross-sectional areas at each of these locations with temperature increments <br /> greater than 1°F are summarized in Table 2. The maximum area impacted is 22% at <br /> 1,000 ft downstream of the discharge. <br /> Similar plots from the preliminary 28 MGD simulation are shown in Figure 31 through <br /> Figure 33 for December 3, 2002. For the time shown in these plots, the percent of the <br /> cross-sectional areas at each of these locations with temperature increments greater than <br /> P F are summarized in Table 2. The maximum area impacted is 51% at 1,500 ft <br /> downstream of the discharge. <br /> 30 <br />