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4 Environmental Analysis <br /> 4.8 Greenhouse Gas Emissions <br /> 4.8 GREENHOUSE GAS EMISSIONS <br /> This section identifies and evaluates issues related to greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions that <br /> could occur as a result of implementation of the proposed Griffith Energy Storage Project <br /> (Project). It includes the physical and regulatory setting, the criteria used to evaluate the <br /> significance of potential impacts, the methods used in evaluating these impacts, and the results <br /> of the impact assessment. In addition, a Project-specific GHG emissions evaluation was <br /> completed as part of the Air Quality, and Greenhouse Gas Technical Report for the Project. San <br /> Joaquin County (County) did not receive any scoping comments related to GHG emissions. <br /> 4.8.1 Existing Conditions <br /> 4.8.1.1 The Greenhouse Effect <br /> The past 8 years have been the warmest years since modern recordkeeping began in 1880. The <br /> years 2016 and 2020 are tied for the warmest year on record. The earth's global average surface <br /> temperature in 2021 tied with 2018 as the sixth warmest year on record, according to the National <br /> Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA 2021). <br /> Certain gases in the earth's atmosphere, classified as GHGs, play a critical role in determining <br /> the earth's surface temperature. A GHG is any gas in the atmosphere that absorbs infrared <br /> radiation. As solar radiation enters the earth's atmosphere, a portion of the radiation is absorbed <br /> by the earth's surface and a portion is reflected back through the atmosphere into space. The <br /> absorbed radiation is eventually emitted from the earth into the atmosphere as infrared radiation. <br /> Most solar radiation passes through GHGs; infrared radiation is selectively absorbed or"trapped" <br /> by GHGs as heat and then reradiated back toward the earth's surface, warming the lower <br /> atmosphere and the earth's surface. This phenomenon, known as the "greenhouse effect," is <br /> beneficial for maintaining a habitable climate on the earth. As the atmospheric concentrations of <br /> GHGs rise, however, the average temperature of the lower atmosphere gradually increases, <br /> thereby increasing the potential for indirect effects, such as a decrease in precipitation as snow, <br /> a rise in sea level, and changes to plant and animal species and habitat. <br /> Whereas pollutants with localized air quality effects have relatively short atmospheric lifetimes <br /> (about 1 day), GHGs have long atmospheric lifetimes (1 year to several thousand years) and <br /> persist in the atmosphere long enough to be dispersed globally. Although the exact lifetime of any <br /> particular GHG molecule depends on multiple variables and cannot be pinpointed, scientific <br /> evidence reveals that more carbon dioxide (CO2) is emitted into the atmosphere then is <br /> sequestered by ocean uptake, vegetation, and other forms of sequestration. Of the total annual <br /> human-caused CO2 emissions, approximately 54 percent is sequestered through ocean uptake, <br /> uptake by northern hemisphere forest regrowth, and other terrestrial sinks within a year, whereas <br /> the remaining 46 percent of human-caused CO2 emissions remains stored in the atmosphere. <br /> The quantity of GHGs that it takes to ultimately result in climate change is not known precisely, <br /> although scientific evidence strongly indicates no single project would be expected to contribute <br /> measurably to a noticeable incremental change in the global average temperature. <br /> 4.8.1.2 Greenhouse Gases <br /> GHGs are emitted by natural processes and human activities. Natural GHG sources include <br /> decomposition of dead organic matter; respiration of bacteria, plants, animals, and fungus; <br /> Griffith Energy Storage Project 4.8-1 Tetra Tech/SCH 2022120675 <br /> Draft Environmental Impact Report August 2023 <br />