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3-D Model/RD Report Memorandum -6- 14 December 1992 <br /> DDRW, Sharpe <br /> Well Efficiency <br /> An efficiency of 65 percent was used in the Injection Scenario based on model <br /> calibrated estimates from the short-term injection tests completed in the Central <br /> Area (page 8-15) . The Modeling Report also states that pumping well efficiencies of <br /> 37, 54, 58, and 30 percent were estimated from head losses computed by the MODFLOW <br /> well package for the 4558, 437B, 453B and P4B aquifer tests, respectively, for the <br /> short-term transient calibrations (pages 5-9 to 5-11) . The Modeling Report <br /> correctly states that injection wells are generally less efficient than extraction <br /> wells (page 8-15) . Therefore, the 65 percent efficiency used for the Injection <br /> Scenario seems relatively high for gravity fed injection wells and in comparison to <br /> the estimated well efficiencies used in the transient state calibrations. The <br /> Modeling Report should have provided additional discussion justifying the <br /> appropriateness of these efficiencies. <br /> Sensitivity Analysis <br /> The sensitivity analysis indicated that the model was not highly sensitive to the <br /> following parameters: hydraulic conductivity and leakance, dispersivity and <br /> retardation factor. The removal efficiencies varied between 10 to 25 percent, 5 to <br /> 10 percent and 3 to 10 percent, respectively, when these parameters are decreased <br /> and increased in model simulations. The model appears to be less sensitive to <br /> agricultural well pumping. The model does not appear to be sensitive to rising <br /> regional water levels and continuous sources of TCE (pages 10-1 to 10-6) . As is <br /> common with many models, the 3-D model for the Sharpe site is most sensitive to <br /> changes in hydraulic conductivity and leakance. <br /> The lower sensitivity of the model to agricultural pumpage and rises in water levels <br /> appear to be directly affected by the assumptions used in development of the flow <br /> model (page 8-1) . The regional decline in ground water levels since 1945 and the <br /> ongoing drought were assumed not to continue into the future and the agricultural <br /> wells west of the site were assumed to be inoperative over the entire future <br /> simulation period. The model also does not account for contaminant transport from <br /> the unsaturated zone (source areas) . However, these model assumptions are <br /> acceptable only if the agricultural pumpage is discontinued and the source areas are <br /> remediated. <br /> In addition, the Modeling Report states that retardation factors used in the solute <br /> transport modeling were calculated from sediment sample results for Total Organic <br /> Carbon (TOC) . The TOC content was measured to range between 0.232 and 0.638 percent <br /> by weight for the samples. It is generally accepted that the organic content of <br /> soils in arid and semi-arid climates is relatively low. Therefore, these analytical <br /> results are surprisingly high. The affect of unusually high TOC content on the <br /> retardation factor and the resultant affects of the retardation factor on the <br /> sensitivity analysis were not sufficiently justified. These issues should be <br /> discussed more thoroughly in the Modeling Report. <br /> CKW:cw <br />