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effects of flooding on the health or regeneration of the forest. <br /> The first problem can be solved expensively, by additional surveying, or less expensively <br /> by conducting a trial flood (Zuckerman, personal communication, 1990). The second <br /> problem, although not immediately crucial, must be better understood within the next ten <br /> years. Without knowing the demography of the forest trees, managers will be unable to <br /> evaluate the success of management activities. An analogy might be helpful. If our goal <br /> were to maintain a healthy deer herd, the manager would need to know the size of the herd, <br /> the ratio of males to females, approximate ages of the population and birth rates and <br /> hunting success. The manager uses this information to set the annual hunting limit and to <br /> properly manage the herd. Although deer are quite different than oaks, similar information <br /> is necessary to properly manage the forest. Currently we know the extent, approximate <br /> numbers, and even have a rough estimate of reproduction. However, since we know <br /> neither the ages or the mortality rates, we cannot determine if there are enough trees,or the <br /> effects of our management decisions. <br /> Option 3 involves developing appropriate regeneration and management techniques based <br /> on site field trials. Although this option is time consuming, it is not costly and should <br /> generate valuable information.We think that waiting to implement a management plan until <br /> after a 3 to 5 year trial period would not have an adverse affect on the health of the forest. <br /> Option 4 involves complete management of the forest. This option is not necessary, nor <br /> philosophically or economically attractive. The expense involved in marking, mapping and <br /> managing the forest would far exceed the costs of the other options. In addition we believe <br /> that the forest ecosystem retains some natural capacity for self-regeneration. <br /> After consultation with Bob Belt, from Kjeldsen-Sinnock, and Toby Hanes, the <br /> hydrologist from Hydroscience, we developed the following assumptions and <br /> Buckeye Ranch Resource Plan (November, 1993) <br /> 170 <br />