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Table B-1 San Joaquin County Council of Governments Population Estimates (1 - 2010) Popul ti I 2 10 Incorporated Tracts 33,392 50,532 Unincorporated Tracts 8,913 83,358 TPA Total 42,305 133,890 It is important to note that the limited population growth for the City of Tracy (incorporated tracts) is due to City boundary constraints. The population growth for the unincorporated tracts is largely due to the expansion of the Tracy population beyond City boundaries. Throughout the remainder of this section, the region which includes the City of Tracy and the anticipated population expansion in e vicinity of the City is referred to as the Tracy Area. Areas of the TPA not expected to experience the anticipated population growth indicated above are referred to as Rural Unincorporated County. For the purpose of this analysis, population growth estimates for the Tracy Area and the Rural Unincorporated County rely on total COG population projections for the TPA and on the San Joaquin County SRRE estimates for the rural population growth rate. The COG population growth rate estimate for the entire TPA is approximately 6 percent annually. The population growth for rural areas of the TPA is estimated to increase at a rate of 0.45 percent annually. The majority of the population growth in the TPA is assumed to take place in the Tracy Area. Table B-2 summarizes population estimates for the TPA through the planning period. Table B-2 Population Estimates for the TPA Population Region 195 2000, 2005 2014 2015 Tracy Area 33,392 46,363 64,387 89,408 124,140 172,397 Rural Unincorporated 8,913 9,115 9,322 9,534 9,750 9,972 County TPA Total 42,305 55,478 73,709 98,942 133,890 182,369 L:\PR0JECfl397\MRF\RS1-1.TCY EBA WASTECHNOLOGffS ORAfT B-2 Demmber 14,1993 }