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geotechnical engineering <br /> subjective probability <br /> decision analysis <br /> Wfarne SISAnAt a materials characterization <br /> project management <br /> EDUCATION <br /> University of California, Berkeley: Ph.D. Engineering, 1974 <br /> University of California, Davis: M.S. Civil Engineering, 1970 <br /> University of California, Davis: B.S. Engineering, 1968 <br /> PROFESSIONAL REGISTRATION <br /> Civil Engineer, California (1#28278) <br /> PROFESSIONAL HISTORY University of Pacific , 1982-date <br /> Univ,�-rsi.tyy of California, Davis , 1981-82 <br /> Woodward-Clyde Consultants, Project rhyineer, 197"- 1978 <br /> U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, Sacramento, Engineer, sunw ers 1967-69 <br /> REPRESENTATIVE PROJECTS <br /> Mr. Smith's recent project work has been directed to%,ard the application <br /> of decision theory to assist in the solution of enginecring problems <br /> with emphasis on the assessym-nt of subjective probability. He has com- <br /> pleted projects utilizing Bayesian probabilistic concepts to estimate <br /> the probability of oil spills at deepwater ports and developed a tech- <br /> nique for quantifying multiple regression equations using subjective in-- <br /> formation obtained through personal interviews with knowledgeable indi <br /> viduals. 41his technique has been used to develop a predictive equation <br /> for the fatigue performance of highway pavera-ants based on intervi,_ms with <br /> experienced highway engineers in six different states. His doctoral dis- <br /> sertationused Bayesian probabilistic concepts to quantify a Barkov de- <br /> cision model developed to determine optimum overlay maintenance sera caies <br /> for highway pavements. <br /> Mr. Smith has used the techniqu,-s of decision analysis to define optimurn <br /> actions in many complex engineering prcblems. These ,Include the utiliza- <br /> tion of solid waste to develop energy, analysis of street cleaning tech- <br /> niques for the improvement of urban runoff quality, evaluation of alter- <br /> native design strategies for offshore platforms under earthquake and wave <br /> loadings, and site aDd selection for bath nuclear and coal power plants. <br /> In these projects, preferential tradeoffs between relevant engineering, <br /> social, environmental, and econoruc corsider•atioras were: addressed and <br /> incorporated in the analysis of available alternatives to determine an <br /> optimum course of. action. The uncertainties associated with each poten- <br /> tial action were also considered. <br /> GISS 05178 <br /> 7605 <br /> 1of3 <br />