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and the location of the trip generators . A requirement of the <br /> proposed Conditional Use Permit should be that no through company <br /> trucks shall use Holly Drive south of 1-205 to access the site. <br /> Transfer trucks will haul the accumulation of refuse from the <br /> PROJECT to the Foothill site, San Joaquin County Landfill for <br /> permanent disposal. A requirement of the proposed Conditional <br /> Use Permit should be that, because 100% of these trips will be to <br /> and from the east on 1-205, all transfer trucks shall use Larch <br /> Road to Holly Drive to Arbor Road to MacArthur Drive to 1-205 . <br /> Figure 3 shows the directional distribution assigned to the <br /> roadway network. <br /> C. Cumulative Growth <br /> To evaluate the future peak hour traffic conditions at the study <br /> intersections, a growth scenario was applied resulting in LOS <br /> projections to the year 2000 both with and without the traffic <br /> resulting from the PROJECT. <br /> The growth scenario assumes that the PROJECT's refuse handling <br /> capabilities , the PROJECT's traffic generation rate, and City <br /> traffic volumes in general will increase uniformly with the <br /> population increase of the City. The estimated population <br /> increase of the City considers two independent growth estimates . <br /> First, the San Joaquin County's "Waste Stream Quantity Analysis" , <br /> dated February 6 , 1990, estimates the growth of refuse at Tracy <br /> as 5% per year. Second, the estimated population increase in <br /> Tracy as estimated in the "Forecast of the Demand for Land Uses <br /> in Tracy, 1987-2010" by Greun Greun and Associates, January, <br /> 1988 . The projected population for the City of Tracy in 2010 <br /> according to Greun Greun is about 84, 000 which is an increase of <br /> 186% over the existing population of 29 ,400 . This results in a <br /> 9 . 3% per year increase over the existing population if the City <br /> growth is assumed to be uniform over time (i.e. , linear rate of <br /> change) . <br /> The growth scenario resulting in the most appropriate method of <br /> estimating future traffic demand in the subject area, including <br /> that which will result from the project, must consider both of <br /> the above growth estimates . Therefore, the year 2000 was chosen <br /> for the traffic analysis as a reasonable estimate for the station <br /> exceeding the 500 ton per day capacity. This assumes a growth <br /> rate greater than the San Joaquin County estimate of 5% per year, <br /> but less than Greun Greun estimate of 9 . 3% per year growth. The <br /> calculated growth rate to be used in the traffic projections is <br /> therefore 7 . 1% based on a linear increase to 500 tons per day in <br /> 2000. <br /> Not specifically considered by this growth scenario are the <br /> unknown effects of the nearby 100 year flood plane (see figure <br /> 3) , the future, unknown localized variations in traffic demand <br /> 5 <br />